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Why Giuliani lost -- the Tote Board's take.
However one assesses last night's debate, Rudy Giuliani did not stand out. His candidacy is in serious trouble, since a Florida victory seems increasingly unlikely.
We've stopped analyzing every debate, on the theory that the importance of these contests has been overrated and the audiences have been relatively small. But tonight may be an exception. Rudy Giiuliani is seeing his Florida firewall collapse and...
McCain vs. Giuliani in Florida -- the Tote Board's take.
We're not paying that much
attention to the flood of polls now pouring out -- causing a kind of
media frenzy -- because at this point, the polls are all over the lot
and they will change in the days ahead. But when there is an important
trend or development...
It is one heck of a turnaround: Rasmussen now has Huckabee in first place among Republicans in a national poll, albeit with only 20% of the vote . What's caused this is that Rudy Giuliani has dropped a full ten points in the last six days -- no doubt...
The GOP Republican numbers in Iowa and New Hampshire, according to the latest New York Times poll: IOWA Romney 27% Huckabee 21% Giuliani 15% (just the top 3 listed) NEW HAMPSHIRE Romney 34% Giuliani 16% McCain 16% (just the top 3 listed) Three significant...
Rasmussen is out with another national match-up today and while John McCain, again, continues to be the only Republican to
run ahead of Hillary, the real news is that Romney now only trails
Clinton by 5% -- 47%-42%. This continues an upwards trajectory...
As we've noted before, national
polls at this point have little predictive value but they do affect
perceptions on the ground a bit in Iowa and New Hampshire. Thus two new
polls this weekend that show Hillary ahead of Giuliani nationally will
help...
More problems for Hillary: Now Quinnipiac joins Rasmussen in also showing Rudy ahead of her in the national numbers. (McCain is tied with her.) Electability began to become an issue last night -- and we can expect to hear more about it from Hillary's...
Polls obviously don't mean much at
this stage, a year before the election. But if Rudy Giuliani gets the
GOP nod, Democrats should not assume the cakewalk many are currently
assuming. I n the latest Rasmussen match-u p,
Giuliani now leads Clinton...
It's kind of been lost in the flood of other news but a new Rasmussen series of polls suggest
that John McCain is currently the GOP contender who would run strongest
against Hillary Clinton. MCain trails Clinton by a single point;
Giulani trails by...
The l atest Rasmussen numbers in Iowa for the GOP have Romney at 25%, Thompson at 19%, Huckabee at 18%, and Giuliani in fourth at 13%. That's tight enough to make the race impossible to
call, much less at this early stage. But two things to watch...
Today, the Tote Board offers advice to Rudy Giuliani : If he bypasses Iowa, he risks losing everything.
The Politico is reporting that some prominent social conservatives have raised the spectre of a third party movement if Rudy Giuliani is nominated. This is a significant threat to his general election chances -- and indeed to the party's as a whole...
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